The outbreak of the coronavirus infection COVID-19 in early 2020 caught most countries of the world by surprise. Humanity has suffered colossal economic and human losses due to the inability of health systems to cope with the rapidly spreading virus. This pandemic is not the first in history, however, despite this, the methods of combating the spread of the virus were belated and ineffective. This work is devoted to the development of a model for the spread of viral diseases using the example of COVID-19 in order to predict the scale of future epidemics and, as a result, select successful methods of combating them. To conclude a conclusion about the effectiveness of the application of this technology, a simulation model of the corresponding process is being developed.

COVID-19, simulation, viral diseases, urban areas

Mathematical modelling in actual problems of science and technics

Ponomarev Roman Lvovich,  ,  orcid.org/0000-0003-4887-5028,  Plekhanov Russian University of Economics

Sudakov Vladimir Anatolievich,  ,  orcid.org/0000-0002-1658-1941,  KIAM RAS

Sivakova Tatiana Vladimirovna,  ,  orcid.org/0000-0001-8026-2198,  KIAM RAS

Ententeev Aidar Rinatovich,  ,  orcid.org/0000-0002-6111-4824,  National Research University 'Moscow Power Engineering Institute'

Eskin Vladimir Ivanovich,  ,  orcid.org/0000-0003-4548-0258,  National Research University 'Moscow Aviation Institute'